Dalam analisis komprehensif ini, Ultima Markets memberi Anda rincian mendalam tentang NZDUSD untuk 25 Juli 2024. 

Kesimpulan Utama 

• Kebijakan moneter: Pada awal Juli, Reserve Bank of New Zealand mempertahankan suku bunga tidak berubah untuk 8 kalinya berturut-turut tetapi menegaskan kembali bahwa kebijakan moneter yang ketat mungkin telah menekan permintaan lebih dari yang diharapkan. Pernyataan itu meningkatkan taruhan pasar bahwa bank sentral dapat memangkas suku bunganya akhir tahun ini. 

• Tekanan depresiasi mata uang: Pada hari Rabu, dolar AS jatuh di bawah level kritis terhadap Yen Jepang, yang menyebabkan matinya perdagangan spread carry rate global. Sejak yen Jepang menyentuh level terendah 40 tahun awal bulan ini, mata uang telah terapresiasi lebih dari 4,5%. Sebelumnya, mata uang ini disukai oleh pedagang arbitrase karena mereka menggunakan dana pinjaman untuk berinvestasi dalam mata uang dengan hasil yang lebih tinggi. Ketika Bank of Japan memperketat kebijakannya, mata uang komoditas seperti dolar Australia dan dolar Selandia Baru kembali menjadi pilihan pedagang suku bunga, yang mengakibatkan depresiasi jangka pendek pada kedua mata uang terkait komoditas. 

Technical Analysis 

Daily Chart Insights 

• MACD: Indikator menunjukkan amplifikasi momentum bearish, menunjukkan bias penurunan yang kuat di depan. Namun, disarankan untuk menunggu peluang perdagangan jangka panjang yang mungkin condong ke arah atas. 

• Support price: After closing below the downward channel line, the structure of downward wave has emerged for the pair. It is suggested to pay attention to the Fibonacci extension level of 1.618 below. Nonetheless, its nearer 1.382 level may pose as a stage for a retest of bullish momentum, thus suggesting possible short-term rebound.  

H1 Chart Insights 

• Stochastic Oscillator: The indicator skewed towards the downside, entering the oversold region, suggesting possible upside ahead. Be alert on the formation of bottom divergence signal.  

• Resistance zone: The pair’s rebound yesterday failed to overcome the downward trend formed by the moving average, suggesting further downside bias. Nonetheless, it is suggested to monitor the next price action to see if a close below the previous low is achieved. 

Pivot Indicator 

• According to the trading central in Ultima Markets APP, the central price of the day is established at 0.5943, 

• Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 0.5943, first target 0.5962, second target 0.5973; 

• Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 0.5943, first target 0.5902, second target 0.5891. 

Conclusion 

To navigate the complex world of trading successfully, it’s imperative to stay informed and make data-driven decisions. Ultima Markets remains dedicated to providing you with valuable insights to empower your financial journey. 

For personalized guidance tailored to your specific financial situation, please do not hesitate to contact Ultima Markets. 

Join Ultima Markets today and access a comprehensive trading ecosystem equipped with the tools and knowledge needed to thrive in the financial markets. 

Stay tuned for more updates and analyses from our team of experts at Ultima Markets. 

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Legal Documents 

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Disclaimer   

Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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